2026 elections: Early vote update (through 10/26)

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2026 elections: Early vote update (through 10/26)
Photo by visuals / Unsplash

This post is an update of my last one (please refer to that post for more details about the data and the charts). We are now just one week out from Election Day, and the data in the charts is updated through October 26.

In the interim, I was able to get access to data from Broomfield and Mesa counties (but I still haven't heard back from El Paso).

Total returns

Nearly a quarter of Coloradans' ballots have been processed by as of the end of day on Monday this week (10/26).

Share of ballots that have been processed by day ...

Notes: the line shows the share of all ballots that have been processed among all those that have been distributed. The data here are current through Oct. 26, 2026, and they include totals for Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, Jefferson, Larimer, Mesa and Weld counties. County processing timing and collection may differ somewhat. Sources: County CE-068 reports available through each county clerk's webpage.

Democratic affiliators have maintained their lead in ballot returns during this period.

Share of ballots returned by partisan affiliation...

Notes: Each line shows the share of all ballots that have been processed by those with each partisan affiliation among all those that have been distributed. The data here are current through Oct. 26, 2026, and they include totals for Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, Jefferson, Larimer, Mesa and Weld counties. County processing timing and collection may differ somewhat. Sources: County CE-068 reports available through each county clerk's webpage.

Partisan advantage among different groups of voters

Over the past week, there have been large increases in turnout among Gen Z and Millennial registrants. As of 10/22, only 5% of Gen Z had returned their ballots. That figure has doubled to 10% today. The increase among Millennials was not so dramatic, but still outpaced older generations of voters (though these two youngest groups of voters still lag significantly behind their older counterparts).

Nearly all groups of voters in the chart below have seen the Democratic advantage difference between those who have returned their ballots and the larger group of all registrants shrink somewhat reflecting the increase in Republicans who have been returning their ballots somewhat later than Democrats. However, as was the case a week ago, those who have returned their ballots remain significantly more Democratic overall in their partisan balance compared to those who have not voted.

Notes: Each circle shows the size of different groups of Coloradans with ballots. The bar connects the centers of each circle and shows the partisan difference between the groups. Partisan lean is calculated as the difference between the share of the group that is registered with the Democratic Party and the share that is registered with the Republican Party among major party registrants. Sources: County CE-068 reports available through each county clerk's webpage for Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Denver, Douglas, Jefferson, Larimer and Weld counties through Oct 26, 2026.